Earlier this week, the attention hungry OKC weather media began to collectively tease a “possible” winter weather event that may or may not hit around the Christmas holiday.
Yep, that’s right. The TV weatherheads are crying “Christmas Snow.” They’re doing this despite:
A) They’ve failed miserably in forecasting recent weather events for the metro. Who could forget last year’s ice storm that never happened, or the famed Christmas blizzard fizzle? The Oklahoma weather media’s specialty is spring-time severe weather. Paying attention to what they say about winter weather events 11 days in advance would be like going to Cattlemen’s and ordering the chicken.
B) Any weather forecast that goes beyond five days is basically a highly speculative shot in the dark. It would be like trying to forecast what a stock price will be like two weeks later. Sure, you can have a general idea of what will happen, but unless you’re God and have insider knowledge, you don’t really know.
Mike Morgan shared some tweets about the probably-maybe winter weather event. According to him, the snow that’s going to hit us in 288 hours is currently killing time at a sushi bar in Japan.
So where is this storm that MAY bring SNOW to OKLAHOMA on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day??? The answer?? Over northern Japan and Korea…very far away. Let's be clear, a LOT can change, but pattern appears favorable for SNOW to us! KFOR-TV Mike Morgan pic.twitter.com/iLDjqR1cf1
— Mike Morgan (@MikeMorganKFOR) December 12, 2017
My INITIAL LOOK for Christmas Day in OKC. SNOW is possible, looks much COLDER too. 30% chance for snow, MAY be a fairly large area on SNOW in our State beginning 12.24. IMPORTANT to point out Christmas is still 13 days away!! Tracking, KFOR Mike Morgan pic.twitter.com/QfhBUAod3B
— Mike Morgan (@MikeMorganKFOR) December 13, 2017
He’s saying there’s a 30% chance of snow on Christmas? Uhm, couldn’t you say that at just about any time in Oklahoma from December through February? I’m going to go on record now and say there’s a 30% chance of snow on January 18th. Now if it snows on that date, I get to brag about calling it first. If it doesn’t, I’ll blame the unpredictable weather.
Mike wasn’t the first person in the local weather media to seek attention by teasing Christmas snow during the middle part of the B.C. Clark Anniversary Sale. Naturally, that honor went to our good pal Aaron “Coppertone” Tuttle:
Yep, AT is now playing his own personal game of Shakespearean madlibs to tease his irresponsible Facebook weather forecasts. That’s clever. I wonder how long until we get a “to snow, or not to snow: that is the EURO Model forecasting question.” Maybe he’ll open up his English lit book and quote other famous poets:
“Snow, be not proud, though some have called thee mighty and dreadful, for thou art not so.”
See what I mean? You can tell that even David thinks it’s ridiculous that he’s having to tease Christmas snow, but hey, you have to do whatever you can for ratings.
This was my favorite line from the video:
“As we get close to Christmas – not locked-in, this is not a guarantee, okay – But… things are beginning to change just a bit, and if this continues to go this way, things might become a little more exciting around here pretty close to Christmas. It might be a day or two before, it could be on Christmas, it could be a few days after.”
There you have it. Although this is not a locked-in guarantee, it could might possibly maybe snow perhaps sometime during a five day window or so in late December if the right conditions are hopefully in place maybe. Please plan accordingly.
As you can see, once one person in the weather media yells “IT COULD BE A WHITE CHRISTMAS AND I’M IN LOVE,” the others have to follow. It’s a classic domino effect. Even Damon Lane – the Boy Scout of the Oklahoma weather media – has to play along. Here’s a video he made for Facebookers:
Just like how the TV meteorologists are using a bunch of its, buts and maybes for this winter snow forecast, I should probably do the same to cover my ass. They might be right! It could snow on December 25th in Oklahoma. It happens. I just think that teasing the event and stirring early winter weather panic (just look at all the shares these posts are getting) is irresponsible.
Of course, we shouldn’t be surprised. We know the drill. TV weather people in Oklahoma are more entertainers than they are meteorologists. Hell, some of them aren’t even degreed meteorologists. They’re hired to generate ratings and ad dollars first, and provide accurate forecasts that may or may not possibly maybe happen second. That’s how the game works, and probably why they suck so bad at forecasting winter weather.
Anyway, I guess the only thing we can do now is wait and find out if they’re right or wrong. Until then, let’s take a TLO reader poll. It’s pretty simple. Do you think it will snow on Christmas?